Overview of domestic sugar industry food production in November: a review of sugar containing food production in November

 

In November, the output of sugary beverages, biscuits, candy and frozen drinks increased by more than 10% year-on-year, while the output of cakes and cans increased by more than 20% year-on-year, and the consumption situation remained good.

 

Sugar Ratio per Unit Weight of Sugar Yield in Nov. 2009/10 Sugar Making Year

 

Cakes 19485825% 487154.6% 23.9%

 

Cookies 66958220% 13391612.6% 15.7%

 

Candy 30659745% 13796913% 18%

 

Quick frozen staple food 50879315% 763197.2% -1.3%

 

Dairy products 33551003% 1006539.5% 0.2%

 

Canned 13547005% 677356.4% 23.2%

 

Frozen drinks 18895415% 283432.7% 13.8%

 

Carbonated drinks 169069414% 23669722.3% 13.6%

 

Fruit juice and vegetable juice 27352918.5% 23250021.9% 12.7%

 

Data Source: November is the second month of the 2009/10 squeezing season. The data series of the sugar-containing food industry in this year is not long enough to be susceptible to some unconventional factors. Therefore, in the first three months of the 09/10 squeezing season, the cumulative year-on-year growth of the output in this table is a cumulative increase after adding the total output of the previous squeezing season. Estimated by the end of November, the industrial sugar demand will increase by 13% in the 09/10 squeezing season, 40% and 60% in the civilian and industrial sectors, and 3% in the civilian sectors, and 14.84 million tons in the 09/10 squeezing season, taking into account the high sugar price (5,381, -18.00, -0.33%). The actual consumption of sugar is expected to reach 13.9 million tons by amplifying the effect of substitutes such as starch sugar.

 

As a result of the drought, the output is expected to be reduced to 12.1 million tons. The author expects that the supply and demand gap of fresh seasonal sugar will reach 2.8 million tons. The enlargement of the supply and demand gap will bring great stimulation to the sugar price. From the view of the external market, the international raw sugar price will rise again in the near future. The import prices of raw sugar from Thailand and Brazil are high, and the import prices of raw sugar are close to those of import sugar. It is unrealistic to fill the gap. The national sugar reserve at the beginning of the squeezing season, together with the 400,000 tons of Cuban sugar expected to arrive in Hong Kong early next year, will be 3 million tons, enough to make up for the supply and demand gap, and will greatly test the wisdom and ability of the country's macro-control.

 

Production status of sugar containing foods

 

 

 

1. Sugar drinks

 

In November 2009, China produced 800,000 tons of carbonated beverages, an increase of 5.8% compared with the same period of the previous year. The cumulative increase rate of sugar demand after adjustment is 3%.

 

In November 2009, the output of juice and vegetable juice drinks in China is expected to reach 1 million 310 thousand tons, an increase of 39% over the same period last year. The adjusted demand for industrial sugar increased by 2.8%.

 

2. Dairy products

 

 

 

In November 2009, China produced 1.655 million tons of dairy products, with a growth rate of 32% year on year. Dairy production is gradually returning to normal, and its weight in the sugar industry has gradually turned positive.

 

3, biscuits and cakes

 

In November 2009, China produced 350,000 tons of biscuits, an increase of 41% over the same period last year. In November, the output reached a record high, and the contribution of sugar demand increased by 2%. In November 2009, China produced 100,000 tons of pastries, an increase of 31% over the same period of last year. The annual output of pastries increased slightly, and its contribution to sugar demand increased by 1.1%.

 

4, candy and canned food

 

In November 2009, China produced 140,000 tons of candy, an increase of 15% over the same period of the same period of the year. The annual output fell somewhat. The growth rate of sugar demand was calculated to be 2.3%. In October 2009, a total of 640,000 tons of canned goods were produced in China, an increase of 23.5% over the same period of last year. The growth rate of sugar demand was calculated to be 1.5%.

 

5, quick frozen staple food and frozen drinks.

 

In November 2009, China produced a total of 290,000 tons of frozen staple food, an increase of 41% over the same period of last year. The growth rate of sugar demand was calculated to be negative 0.1%. Fig. 05/06 monthly output of fast frozen staple food in November, -09/10: 10000 tons.

 

In November 2009, China produced 740,000 tons of frozen beverages, an increase of 11% over the same period of last year, and its contribution to sugar demand grew by 0.4%.